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League One
Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Plymouth Argyle

Shrewsbury
1 - 2
Plymouth

Phillips (53')
Shipley (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Edwards (68'), Wright (90+5')
Cosgrove (17'), Matete (80'), Ennis (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Plymouth
Saturday, April 15 at 12pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

 Plymouth have won three away games on the trot after two losses on the road, but they will not have it easy at a ground where Shrewsbury have claimed five wins from their last seven. A slender win for the leaders should see them claim 10 victories on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
29.24% (0.777 0.78) 25.27% (0.1 0.1) 45.48% (-0.877 -0.88)
Both teams to score 54.32% (0.184 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.97% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)49.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.89% (0.004999999999999 0)71.11% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (0.57299999999999 0.57)30.75% (-0.573 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (0.669 0.67)67.01% (-0.66799999999999 -0.67)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.44% (-0.387 -0.39)21.56% (0.388 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.36% (-0.599 -0.6)54.64% (0.599 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 29.24%
    Plymouth Argyle 45.48%
    Draw 25.27%
Shrewsbury TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 7.82% (0.121 0.12)
2-1 @ 7.07% (0.137 0.14)
2-0 @ 4.61% (0.142 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.78% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.049 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.81% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 29.24%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 10.17% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.8% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.71% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.99% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 45.48%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Plymouth

Shrewsbury Town
17.9%
Draw
10.7%
Plymouth Argyle
71.4%
28
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Plymouth
2-1
Shrewsbury
Ennis (70'), Whittaker (83')
Cosgrove (68')
Shipley (30')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
1-0
Shrewsbury
Grant (62')
Houghton (32'), Camara (54'), Bolton (80')

Vela (34')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Shrewsbury
0-3
Plymouth

Leahy (39'), Vela (77')
Hardie (24', 65'), Jephcott (50')
Broom (40')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Shrewsbury
3-0
Plymouth
Aimson (52' og.), Whalley (77'), Ogbeta (81')
Norburn (75'), Vela (85')

Camara (44')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
1-1
Shrewsbury
Grant (29')
Canavan (73')
Vela (14')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
20Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122
> League One Full Table


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