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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Peterborough United

Shrewsbury
0 - 3
Peterborough


Phillips (66'), Street (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clarke-Harris (30' pen.), Mason-Clark (51'), Taylor (83')
Norris (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 6-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Peterborough United

Peterborough have a terrible recent record away at Shrewsbury, and they struggled to create much of anything last time out against Oxford, so we expect them to draw for the second game on the spin. The Shrews will be looking to bounce back from a very disappointing 6-0 defeat against Charlton last weekend, and for the most part they have been a much better side at home, going unbeaten at Montgomery Waters Meadow since New Year's Day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawPeterborough United
29.33% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25.73% (0.0010000000000012 0) 44.94% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 52.92% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)50.88% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.24% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.76% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.36% (0.0020000000000095 0)31.64% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.95% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.05% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.59% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.8%56.2%
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 29.33%
    Peterborough United 44.93%
    Draw 25.73%
Shrewsbury TownDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 8.23%
2-1 @ 7.04%
2-0 @ 4.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.7%
3-2 @ 2.01%
3-0 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29.33%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 7.15%
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 10.63%
1-2 @ 9.1%
0-2 @ 7.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.51%
0-3 @ 3.92%
2-3 @ 2.6%
1-4 @ 1.68%
0-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 44.93%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Peterborough

Shrewsbury Town
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Peterborough United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Peterborough
2-1
Shrewsbury
Clarke-Harris (17'), Kent (87')
Kyprianou (67'), Norburn (90+1'), Norris (90+2')
Flanagan (21')
Pyke (38'), Flanagan (62'), Saydee (78')
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Shrewsbury
3-1
Peterborough
Bayliss (2'), Pennington (35'), Leahy (45+7' pen.)
Street (27')
Poku (13')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Peterborough
5-1
Shrewsbury
Clarke-Harris (16' pen.), Dembele (42', 69', 80'), Taylor (88')
Brown (50'), Szmodics (84')
Daniels (18')
Burgoyne (16'), Norburn (58'), Ebanks-Landell (77')
Vela (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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