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Stockport County
League One | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edgeley Park
Wrexham AFC

Stockport
1 - 0
Wrexham

Barry (24')
Southam-Hales (3'), Horsfall (6'), Barry (20'), Olaofe (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cannon (45'), Lee (63'), Rathbone (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stockport County and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 0-2 Tranmere
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Port Vale 1-1 Wrexham (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Stockport County 2-1 Wrexham

Stockport have won each of their previous three home games against Wrexham, and while we do not expect them to replicate the 5-0 win from last season's home clash, we think that they will do enough to extend that run by claiming a narrow victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stockport County.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawWrexham
45.2% (-0.347 -0.35) 24.82% (0.137 0.14) 29.97% (0.214 0.21)
Both teams to score 56.26% (-0.32100000000001 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31% (-0.478 -0.48)46.69% (0.483 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.05% (-0.449 -0.45)68.95% (0.452 0.45)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (-0.346 -0.35)20.71% (0.35 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.68% (-0.551 -0.55)53.32% (0.555 0.56)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)29.04% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.05% (-0.116 -0.12)64.95% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 45.2%
    Wrexham 29.97%
    Draw 24.82%
Stockport CountyDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 45.2%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.44% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.97%

How you voted: Stockport vs Wrexham

Stockport County
44.9%
Draw
24.6%
Wrexham
30.4%
69
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 46
Wrexham
2-1
Stockport
Palmer (47'), Cannon (88')
Lemonheigh-Evans (29')
Madden (59'), Camps (67'), Pye (90+6')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Stockport
5-0
Wrexham
Olaofe (21', 30', 50'), Barry (32'), Madden (90')
Olaofe (22')

Dalby (48')
May 8, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 45
Wrexham
3-0
Stockport
Palmer (34', 46'), Mullin (45+3')
Cleworth (69'), Tozer (90+1')

Quigley (39'), Hippolyte (90+3')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Stockport
2-1
Wrexham
Madden (48', 80')
Madden (72'), Whitfield (80'), Southam-Hales (83'), Reid (86')
Mullin (2')
Mullin (2'), Lennon (90')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 46
Wrexham
0-3
Stockport

Jarvis (67')
Reid (14', 26'), Rooney (70' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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