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Stockport County
League One | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edgeley Park
Wrexham AFC

Stockport
1 - 0
Wrexham

Barry (24')
Southam-Hales (3'), Horsfall (6'), Barry (20'), Olaofe (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cannon (45'), Lee (63'), Rathbone (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stockport County and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 0-2 Tranmere
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Port Vale 1-1 Wrexham (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Stockport County 2-1 Wrexham

Stockport have won each of their previous three home games against Wrexham, and while we do not expect them to replicate the 5-0 win from last season's home clash, we think that they will do enough to extend that run by claiming a narrow victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stockport County.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawWrexham
45.2% (-0.347 -0.35) 24.82% (0.137 0.14) 29.97% (0.214 0.21)
Both teams to score 56.26% (-0.32100000000001 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31% (-0.478 -0.48)46.69% (0.483 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.05% (-0.449 -0.45)68.95% (0.452 0.45)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (-0.346 -0.35)20.71% (0.35 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.68% (-0.551 -0.55)53.32% (0.555 0.56)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)29.04% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.05% (-0.116 -0.12)64.95% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 45.2%
    Wrexham 29.97%
    Draw 24.82%
Stockport CountyDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 45.2%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.44% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.97%

How you voted: Stockport vs Wrexham

Stockport County
44.9%
Draw
24.6%
Wrexham
30.4%
69
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 46
Wrexham
2-1
Stockport
Palmer (47'), Cannon (88')
Lemonheigh-Evans (29')
Madden (59'), Camps (67'), Pye (90+6')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Stockport
5-0
Wrexham
Olaofe (21', 30', 50'), Barry (32'), Madden (90')
Olaofe (22')

Dalby (48')
May 8, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 45
Wrexham
3-0
Stockport
Palmer (34', 46'), Mullin (45+3')
Cleworth (69'), Tozer (90+1')

Quigley (39'), Hippolyte (90+3')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Stockport
2-1
Wrexham
Madden (48', 80')
Madden (72'), Whitfield (80'), Southam-Hales (83'), Reid (86')
Mullin (2')
Mullin (2'), Lennon (90')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 46
Wrexham
0-3
Stockport

Jarvis (67')
Reid (14', 26'), Rooney (70' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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