We said: Stockport County 1-2 Reading
Reading may have won five of their last six matches, but only one of those victories took place on the road, and with that in mind, we think that the Royals may have to settle for a point against a Stockport side that have drawn their previous two home matches against Northampton Town and Wigan Athletic.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 53.55%. A win for Reading had a probability of 23.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.