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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
29.72% ( -1.23) | 26.38% ( -0.23) | 43.91% ( 1.46) |
Both teams to score 51.13% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.69% ( 0.43) | 53.31% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.15% ( 0.36) | 74.86% ( -0.36) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.39% ( -0.66) | 32.61% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.85% ( -0.75) | 69.15% ( 0.75) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.87% ( 0.92) | 24.13% ( -0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.56% ( 1.3) | 58.44% ( -1.29) |
Score Analysis |
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.72% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.66% Total : 43.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 60 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 58 |
3 | Wrexham | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 52 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 48 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 47 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 44 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 44 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 43 |
9 | Barnsley | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Reading | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 41 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 37 |
13 | Blackpool | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Stevenage | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 33 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 27 |
21 | Burton Albion | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 24 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 24 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 21 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 20 |
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