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Championship header 2

League Two
Bradford City
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Utilita Energy Stadium
Carlisle United

Bradford
2 - 1
Carlisle

Cook (2', 70')
Byrne (29'), Kelly (78'), Diabate (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Neal (58')
Neal (20'), Barclay (64'), Davies (67'), McGeouch (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Bradford City and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bradford City

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Newcastle U21s (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-2 Forest U21s
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Bradford City 2-1 Carlisle United

 With a win over high-flying Barrow this campaign, Carlisle cannot be written off from overcoming Bradford this weekend. Nevertheless, the home side could extend their unbeaten record on familiar territory to three games with a hard-fought victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 21.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bradford City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bradford City.

Result
Bradford CityDrawCarlisle United
54.41% (3.128 3.13) 23.81% (-0.937 -0.94) 21.78% (-2.191 -2.19)
Both teams to score 51.78% (0.244 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (1.631 1.63)48.93% (-1.632 -1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (1.459 1.46)71.02% (-1.46 -1.46)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (1.834 1.83)17.88% (-1.834 -1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.34% (3.067 3.07)48.66% (-3.067 -3.07)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.06% (-1.138 -1.14)36.94% (1.137 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.27% (-1.15 -1.15)73.72% (1.15 1.15)
Score Analysis
    Bradford City 54.4%
    Carlisle United 21.78%
    Draw 23.81%
Bradford CityDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.36% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 9.79% (0.481 0.48)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.189 0.19)
3-0 @ 5.62% (0.579 0.58)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.419 0.42)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.128 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.372 0.37)
4-1 @ 2.41% (0.307 0.31)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 54.4%
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.45 -0.45)
0-0 @ 6.6% (-0.453 -0.45)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.58% (-0.672 -0.67)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.408 -0.41)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.448 -0.45)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.188 -0.19)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 21.78%

How you voted: Bradford vs Carlisle

Bradford City
80.0%
Draw
4.0%
Carlisle United
16.0%
25
Head to Head
May 20, 2023 3pm
Carlisle
3-1
Bradford
Halliday (21' og.), Guy (98'), Barclay (112')
Armer (6'), Garner (60'), Guy (96')
Derbyshire (106')
Clayton (42')
> Preview
May 14, 2023 7pm
Bradford
1-0
Carlisle
Walker (18')
> Preview
Mar 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Bradford
0-0
Carlisle
> Preview
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Carlisle
1-0
Bradford
Huntington (34')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 46
Bradford
2-0
Carlisle
Angol (13'), Walker (69')
Cooke (79')

Whelan (56'), Armer (67'), Dickenson (80'), Omotoye (86')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


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