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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
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Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
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Gillingham
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Bradford City
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Utilita Energy Stadium
Carlisle United

Bradford
2 - 1
Carlisle

Cook (2', 70')
Byrne (29'), Kelly (78'), Diabate (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Neal (58')
Neal (20'), Barclay (64'), Davies (67'), McGeouch (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Bradford City and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 1-2 Forest U21s
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Bradford City 2-1 Carlisle United

With a win over high-flying Barrow this campaign, Carlisle cannot be written off from overcoming Bradford this weekend. Nevertheless, the home side could extend their unbeaten record on familiar territory to three games with a hard-fought victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 21.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bradford City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bradford City.

Result
Bradford CityDrawCarlisle United
54.41% (3.128 3.13) 23.81% (-0.937 -0.94) 21.78% (-2.191 -2.19)
Both teams to score 51.78% (0.244 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (1.631 1.63)48.93% (-1.632 -1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (1.459 1.46)71.02% (-1.46 -1.46)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (1.834 1.83)17.88% (-1.834 -1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.34% (3.067 3.07)48.66% (-3.067 -3.07)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.06% (-1.138 -1.14)36.94% (1.137 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.27% (-1.15 -1.15)73.72% (1.15 1.15)
Score Analysis
    Bradford City 54.4%
    Carlisle United 21.78%
    Draw 23.81%
Bradford CityDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.36% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 9.79% (0.481 0.48)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.189 0.19)
3-0 @ 5.62% (0.579 0.58)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.419 0.42)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.128 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.372 0.37)
4-1 @ 2.41% (0.307 0.31)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 54.4%
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.45 -0.45)
0-0 @ 6.6% (-0.453 -0.45)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.58% (-0.672 -0.67)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.408 -0.41)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.448 -0.45)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.188 -0.19)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 21.78%

How you voted: Bradford vs Carlisle

Bradford City
80.0%
Draw
4.0%
Carlisle United
16.0%
25
Head to Head
May 20, 2023 3pm
Carlisle
3-1
Bradford
Halliday (21' og.), Guy (98'), Barclay (112')
Armer (6'), Garner (60'), Guy (96')
Derbyshire (106')
Clayton (42')
May 14, 2023 7pm
Mar 21, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 46
Bradford
2-0
Carlisle
Angol (13'), Walker (69')
Cooke (79')

Whelan (56'), Armer (67'), Dickenson (80'), Omotoye (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17BarrowBarrow196581818023
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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