MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 22:49:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | 2nd Leg
May 20, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Bradford City

Carlisle
3 - 1
Bradford

Halliday (21' og.), Guy (98'), Barclay (112')
Armer (6'), Garner (60'), Guy (96')
FT
(aet)
Derbyshire (106')
Clayton (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Carlisle
Sunday, May 14 at 7pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Carlisle
Sunday, May 14 at 7pm in League Two

We say: Carlisle United 1-1 Bradford City (Bradford win 2-1 on aggregate)

Carlisle will give it their absolute all with a place in the playoff final on the line, but Bradford have shown that they know how to get the job done away from home all season. As such, we expect the visitors to pick up a draw, which will be enough to book their place at Wembley on May 28th. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBradford City
36.62% (0.195 0.2) 28.06% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 35.32% (-0.2 -0.2)
Both teams to score 47.59% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.5% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)58.5% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.92% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)79.08% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4% (0.10600000000001 0.11)30.6% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17% (0.124 0.12)66.84% (-0.119 -0.12)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.58% (-0.145 -0.14)31.42% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.2% (-0.168 -0.17)67.8% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 36.61%
    Bradford City 35.32%
    Draw 28.06%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 11.38% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.74% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.08% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.61%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.62% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 11.13% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.32%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Bradford

Carlisle United
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Bradford City
14.3%
14
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 7pm
Mar 21, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 28
Bradford
0-0
Carlisle

Oliver (79'), Oliver (79+79')

Moxon (37'), Barclay (56'), Armer (90+5')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 3pm
gameweek 46
Bradford
2-0
Carlisle
Angol (13'), Walker (69')
Cooke (79')

Whelan (56'), Armer (67'), Dickenson (80'), Omotoye (86')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
gameweek 22
Carlisle
2-0
Bradford
Gibson (45'), Patrick (87')

Songo'o (64'), Angol (90+1'), Watt (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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