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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Northampton Town |
36.88% ( -0.34) | 27.47% ( -0.03) | 35.64% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 49.4% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.74% ( 0.14) | 56.25% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.7% ( 0.11) | 77.29% ( -0.12) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.67% ( -0.14) | 29.33% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.69% ( -0.17) | 65.3% ( 0.16) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.91% ( 0.3) | 30.09% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.77% ( 0.36) | 66.23% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.87% | 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 46 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
4 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Notts County | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Salford City | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 36 |
11 | Bromley | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 35 |
12 | MK Dons | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 34 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
17 | Gillingham | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 31 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 31 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 29 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 28 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 26 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |