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FA Cup
Chesterfield
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Technique Stadium
Northampton Town

Chesterfield
1 - 0
Northampton

Dobra (14')
Williams (38'), Dobra (56'), Akinola (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Chesterfield and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-1 Gateshead
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Newport
Saturday, October 29 at 2pm in League Two

We said: Chesterfield 1-3 Northampton Town

 Saturday's game should certainly not be straightforward for the visitors, who come up against a side knocking on the door of League Two, but if Jon Brady deploys a full-strength Northampton side, they should have enough to come out of the contest with a victory and a place in the second round booked. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawNorthampton Town
39.2% (0.171 0.17) 24.36% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 36.44% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 60.05% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.32% (0.084000000000003 0.08)42.68% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.91% (0.084999999999994 0.08)65.09% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (0.119 0.12)21.8% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.99% (0.184 0.18)55.01% (-0.183 -0.18)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)23.21% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (-0.061 -0.06)57.11% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 39.2%
    Northampton Town 36.44%
    Draw 24.35%
ChesterfieldDrawNorthampton Town
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.87% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.98% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 39.2%
1-1 @ 11.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.39% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.05%
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 36.44%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Northampton

Chesterfield
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Northampton Town
50.0%
16
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Northampton
3-1
Chesterfield
O'Toole (12', 42'), Richards (48')
Faupala (54')
Martinez (88')
Sep 17, 2016 3pm
Chesterfield
3-1
Northampton
Wilkinson (7', 49'), Donohue (70')
Nolan (77'), Dennis (82')
Anderson (62')
McCourt (44')
Jan 25, 2014 3pm
Northampton
1-3
Chesterfield
Carter (15')
Gardner (24'), Roberts (52'), Gnanduillet (87')
Gardner (56'), Darikwa (82')
> Match Report
Nov 26, 2013 7.45pm
Chesterfield
0-0
Northampton

Gnanduillet (27')

Hackett (86')
Jan 12, 2013 3pm
Chesterfield
3-0
Northampton
O'Shea (18'), Richards (19', 25')

Carlisle (43'), Robinson (68')
rhs 2.0
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> Premier League Full Table


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