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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Carlisle United has a probability of 30.45% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Carlisle United win is 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.9%).
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | MK Dons |
30.45% ( 0.62) | 25.15% ( 0.13) | 44.41% ( -0.74) |
Both teams to score 55.43% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.11% ( -0.25) | 47.89% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.93% ( -0.23) | 70.07% ( 0.23) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.68% ( 0.3) | 29.32% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.7% ( 0.37) | 65.3% ( -0.36) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.43% ( -0.44) | 21.57% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.34% ( -0.68) | 54.66% ( 0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.45% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.46% Total : 44.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 52 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 42 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 24 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
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