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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
MK Dons

Carlisle
vs.
MK Dons

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Salford City
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Carlisle United 1-2 MK Dons

Given MK Dons' poor run of form, Carlisle will be optimistic of earning at least a share of the spoils. However, we feel that the visitors will do enough to scrape maximum points here, even if it is in a war of attrition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Carlisle United has a probability of 30.45% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Carlisle United win is 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.9%).

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawMK Dons
30.45% (0.62 0.62) 25.15% (0.127 0.13) 44.41% (-0.744 -0.74)
Both teams to score 55.43% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.11% (-0.252 -0.25)47.89% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.93% (-0.232 -0.23)70.07% (0.235 0.23)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (0.30199999999999 0.3)29.32% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.7% (0.367 0.37)65.3% (-0.36399999999999 -0.36)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43% (-0.44 -0.44)21.57% (0.444 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.34% (-0.683 -0.68)54.66% (0.686 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 30.45%
    MK Dons 44.41%
    Draw 25.14%
Carlisle UnitedDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 7.76% (0.145 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.3% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 4.76% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 2.99% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.95% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 30.45%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.33% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 9.7% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.46% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.41%

Who will win Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle and MK Dons?

Carlisle United
Draw
MK Dons
Carlisle United
100%
Draw
0.0%
MK Dons
0.0%
1
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
MK Dons
3-0
Carlisle
Hendry (18'), Gilbey (31'), Tomlinson (90+2')
Wearne (38'), Nemane (75'), Tripp (90+8')
Feb 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Carlisle
2-3
MK Dons
Scougall (14' pen.), Hope (90')
McGrandles (11'), Hesketh (69'), Agard (77')
Cargill (14'), McGrandles (60'), Moore (81'), Aneke (83')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
MK Dons
2-0
Carlisle
Houghton (50'), Agard (65')

Slater (31'), Gillesphey (60')
Jan 28, 2014 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2013 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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