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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
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Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
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Doncaster Rovers
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Grimsby Town
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MK Dons
Morecambe
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
MK Dons

Cheltenham
0 - 1
MK Dons


Jude-Boyd (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sanders (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 3-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Cheltenham Town 2-1 MK Dons

Neither side have been in the strongest form ahead of this weekend, but MK Dons struggled for months under their former boss and have continued that trend with their current interim manager. On the other hand, Cheltenham will see this match as an opportunity to make up the ground on the playoff spots that they lost in recent weeks, so expect a win for the hosts on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawMK Dons
38.26% (0.177 0.18) 25.58% (0.02 0.02) 36.16% (-0.198 -0.2)
Both teams to score 55.68% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)48.31% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.093 -0.09)70.46% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2% (0.049000000000007 0.05)24.79% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.63% (0.070999999999998 0.07)59.37% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (-0.16 -0.16)25.96% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.03% (-0.217 -0.22)60.97% (0.214 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 38.26%
    MK Dons 36.16%
    Draw 25.57%
Cheltenham TownDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.26% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 38.26%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.68% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 36.16%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs MK Dons

Cheltenham Town
Draw
MK Dons
Cheltenham Town
66.7%
Draw
21.2%
MK Dons
12.1%
33
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
MK Dons
3-2
Cheltenham
Gilbey (22'), Harrison (75'), Maguire (86')
Thompson-Sommers (34')
Young (6'), Miller (13')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
MK Dons
2-2
Cheltenham
Eisa (45+2', 59' pen.)
Bonds (12'), May (90+7')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
MK Dons
1-2
Cheltenham
Jules (43')
Oyegoke (7'), Gyamfi (17')
May (8' pen.), Brown (54')
Raglan (12'), Horton (33'), Barkers (42')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
MK Dons
3-1
Cheltenham
Parrott (26', 85'), Eisa (28')
Boyle (89')
May (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall382010867432470
2Bradford CityBradford38209952322069
3AFC Wimbledon3818101051282364
4Port Vale371713748371164
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster371891054441063
6Notts County3817111056391762
7Grimsby Town38185155254-259
8Colchester UnitedColchester38141684637958
9Crewe AlexandraCrewe38141684538758
10Salford City371411124441353
11Chesterfield3714101358441452
12Bromley381313124947252
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood381214124946350
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham381311145155-450
15Swindon TownSwindon381115125555048
16Newport CountyNewport38137184862-1446
17BarrowBarrow37129164245-345
18MK Dons37136184753-645
19Gillingham371110163139-843
20Accrington StanleyAccrington381011174555-1041
21Harrogate TownHarrogate38118192948-1941
22Tranmere RoversTranmere38813172855-2737
23Morecambe3886243357-2430
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3779212854-2630


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