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Barrow
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Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Colchester United
League Two
Jun 18, 2020 at 5.15pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Exeter City

Colchester
1 - 0
Exeter

Bramall (81')
Pell (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Law (45+1')

The Match

Match Report

Cohen Bramall curled in a set- piece with nine minutes remaining.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two playoff semi-final first leg between Colchester United and Exeter City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colchester United in this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawExeter City
40.71%26.96%32.34%
Both teams to score 50.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.28%54.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.96%76.04%
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58%26.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42%61.58%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.52%31.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.13%67.87%
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 40.7%
    Exeter City 32.34%
    Draw 26.96%
Colchester UnitedDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 11.07%
2-1 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.32%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9.61%
1-2 @ 7.39%
0-2 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 32.34%

Head to Head
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 29
Exeter
0-0
Colchester
Pell (8'), Comley (34')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
Colchester
2-2
Exeter
Pell (16'), Robinson (59')
Stevenson (43'), Pell (62')
Lapslie (76')
Taylor (8'), Bowman (77' pen.)
Parkes (90')
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 38
Exeter
3-0
Colchester
Jay (45'), Holmes (66'), Law (76')
Woodman (53')
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 19
Colchester
1-1
Exeter
Szmodics (67')
Nouble (69')
Stockley (70')
Taylor (56'), Martin (76')
May 5, 2018 3pm
Exeter
1-0
Colchester
Simpson (71')

Gondoh (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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