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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Colchester United win with a probability of 50.57%. A draw has a probability of 26% and a win for Gillingham has a probability of 23.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Gillingham win it is 0-1 (8.14%).
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Gillingham |
50.57% ( 0.15) | 26.02% ( -0.04) | 23.42% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 47.26% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.09% ( 0.08) | 55.91% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.99% ( 0.06) | 77.02% ( -0.06) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.83% ( 0.1) | 22.17% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.43% ( 0.15) | 55.57% ( -0.14) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.72% ( -0.06) | 39.28% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.01% ( -0.05) | 75.99% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 13.12% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 50.57% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |