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Championship header 2

League Two
Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham, Kent)
Cheltenham Town

Gillingham
2 - 2
Cheltenham

Clarke (24'), Lapslie (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Young (36'), Miller (60')
Jude-Boyd (32'), Bakare (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Gillingham
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 1-1 Cheltenham Town

 Given that Cheltenham have scored in all of their away league games this season, and have scored two in each of their last three matches, it is likely they will score again on Friday. However, Gillingham's defensive strength may limit the visitors' offensive output, and it is hard to see anything other than a hard-fought stalemate in this week's clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawCheltenham Town
45.79% (0.745 0.74) 26.33% (0.041 0.04) 27.87% (-0.785 -0.79)
Both teams to score 50.16% (-0.619 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.96% (-0.561 -0.56)54.04% (0.564 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.53% (-0.472 -0.47)75.47% (0.47499999999999 0.47)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46% (0.11199999999999 0.11)23.54% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.41% (0.161 0.16)57.59% (-0.15799999999999 -0.16)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (-0.904 -0.9)34.4% (0.908 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (-0.979 -0.98)71.11% (0.982 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 45.79%
    Cheltenham Town 27.87%
    Draw 26.33%
GillinghamDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.71% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.238 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.08% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 45.79%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.1% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 27.87%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Cheltenham

Gillingham
53.3%
Draw
40.0%
Cheltenham Town
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Cheltenham
2-2
Gillingham
Wright (40'), Etete (78')
Hutchinson (57'), Long (85')
Oliver (14'), Reeves (59')
Oliver (88')
> Preview
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Gillingham
0-2
Cheltenham

Ehmer (53')
Long (30'), May (60')
Flinders (69')
> Preview
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Cheltenham
1-0
Gillingham
Pollock (11')
Joseph (87')

Tucker (54'), O'Keefe (80'), Ehmer (81')
Nov 6, 2021 2pm
First Round
Gillingham
1-1
Cheltenham
Sithole (59')
Jackson (36'), Tucker (90')
Pollock (34')
Chapman (54'), Long (84')
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Gillingham
1-1
Cheltenham
(Aggregate 1-1 | Cheltenham win 5-4 on penalties)
Oliver (20')
May (24')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


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