Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
45.79% ( 0.74) | 26.33% ( 0.04) | 27.87% ( -0.79) |
Both teams to score 50.16% ( -0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.96% ( -0.56) | 54.04% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.53% ( -0.47) | 75.47% ( 0.47) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.46% ( 0.11) | 23.54% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.41% ( 0.16) | 57.59% ( -0.16) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.6% ( -0.9) | 34.4% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.89% ( -0.98) | 71.11% ( 0.98) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.75% Total : 45.79% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.22% Total : 27.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 30 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 30 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |