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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Colchester United

Crewe
vs.
Colchester

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-2 Crewe
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-0 Newport
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Crewe Alexandra 2-1 Colchester United

Given the prolonged unbeaten records of both sides in the fourth tier, this contest should be far more competitive than their league positions suggest it could be. Nevertheless, we are backing the home side to come through in a hard-fought fixture, reducing the gap to leaders Walsall in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Colchester United has a probability of 31.88% and a draw has a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Colchester United win is 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.77%).

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawColchester United
41.2% (0.383 0.38) 26.91% (0.22 0.22) 31.88% (-0.607 -0.61)
Both teams to score 50.42% (-0.874 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.35% (-1.028 -1.03)54.65% (1.024 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.02% (-0.858 -0.86)75.98% (0.85499999999999 0.85)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (-0.267 -0.27)26.12% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.82% (-0.357 -0.36)61.18% (0.353 0.35)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.24% (-0.935 -0.94)31.76% (0.932 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82% (-1.084 -1.08)68.18% (1.081 1.08)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 41.2%
    Colchester United 31.88%
    Draw 26.91%
Crewe AlexandraDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 11.13% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.48% (0.184 0.18)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 41.2%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.29% (0.325 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 9.51% (0.136 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.88%

Who will win Friday's League Two clash between Crewe and Colchester?

Crewe Alexandra
Draw
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Colchester United
33.3%
3
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 46
Colchester
1-1
Crewe
Chilvers (35')
Kelleher (62')
Nevitt (90+2')
Rowe (49')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Crewe
2-1
Colchester
Long (3', 8' pen.)
Demetriou (90+3')
Tovide (53')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Colchester
4-0
Crewe
Akinde (24', 28'), Chilvers (40'), Tovide (55')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crewe
1-0
Colchester
Agyei (80')
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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