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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Colchester United |
38.63% ( 0.08) | 25.73% ( 0.02) | 35.64% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 55.08% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.94% ( -0.11) | 49.06% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.86% ( -0.1) | 71.14% ( 0.1) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.06% ( -0.01) | 24.94% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.42% ( -0.01) | 59.57% ( 0.01) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.38% ( -0.11) | 26.62% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.15% ( -0.15) | 61.85% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 38.63% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 35.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
14 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
15 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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