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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Gillingham has a probability of 33.29% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Gillingham win is 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.29%).
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Gillingham |
40.83% ( -1.53) | 25.88% ( 0.3) | 33.29% ( 1.23) |
Both teams to score 54.15% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.94% ( -0.92) | 50.06% ( 0.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.96% ( -0.83) | 72.04% ( 0.83) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.76% ( -1.17) | 24.24% ( 1.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.41% ( -1.69) | 58.59% ( 1.69) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.47% ( 0.34) | 28.53% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.68% ( 0.42) | 64.32% ( -0.42) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.83% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 34 |
2 | Walsall | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 30 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 26 |
8 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
20 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 17 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
23 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
24 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
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