Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 46.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 25.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.