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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 27
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Crawley
1 - 1
Doncaster

Khaleel (82')
Ogungbo (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lavery (45+6')
Anderson (9'), Brown (45'), Close (90+6'), Molyneux (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Crawley
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Doncaster
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 1-0 Doncaster Rovers

 Crawley appear to have turned a corner in recent weeks, running out comprehensive 3-1 winners against Harrogate Town in their last home match, before beating Wimbledon on their travels. With Doncaster struggling to put any sort of run together, particularly on the road, we expect the hosts to run out narrow winners on Tuesday night, in a closely-contested game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
43.39% (0.463 0.46) 26.54% (-0.142 -0.14) 30.07% (-0.318 -0.32)
Both teams to score 50.8% (0.284 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.19% (0.433 0.43)53.81% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.72% (0.363 0.36)75.28% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (0.43000000000001 0.43)24.61% (-0.425 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.88% (0.595 0.59)59.12% (-0.59 -0.59)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)69.16% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 43.39%
    Doncaster Rovers 30.07%
    Draw 26.53%
Crawley TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 11.25% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 43.39%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.03% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.155 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 30.07%

How you voted: Crawley vs Doncaster

Crawley Town
49.0%
Draw
22.4%
Doncaster Rovers
28.6%
49
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Doncaster
4-1
Crawley
Olowu (40'), Miller (59' pen., 67'), Hurst (83')
Tilley (42')
Tilley (30')
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Crawley
0-0
Doncaster

McNerney (54'), Smith (55'), Boldewijn (83'), Young (93')

Baudry (63'), Alcock (93')
Aug 13, 2016 3pm
Doncaster
1-1
Crawley
Coppinger (49')
Houghton (83')
Collins (26')
Davey (89'), Smith (92'), Blackman (95')
Feb 10, 2015 7.45pm
Crawley
0-5
Doncaster

Edwards (26'), Wordsworth (62')
Walsh (67')
Butler (38'), Wellens (56'), Tyson (64'), Forrester (73'), Main (91')
Stevens (20'), Tyson (67')
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
Doncaster
0-0
Crawley

Bennett (35')

Leacock (52'), Sadler (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall26184452262658
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe271210534231146
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
4Port Vale2712963328545
5AFC Wimbledon25135737191844
6Notts County26128642271544
7Bradford CityBradford26128637271044
8Salford City2612683023742
9Grimsby Town27122133744-738
10Chesterfield269984031936
11Bromley2681173632435
12MK Dons26105113937235
13Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2697103639-334
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood258983331233
16BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
17Gillingham2594122326-331
18Swindon TownSwindon28710113542-731
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2885152338-1529
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2577113343-1028
21Newport CountyNewport2575133345-1226
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2668121940-2126
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2656152140-1921
24Morecambe2655162241-1920
> League Two Full Table


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