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Championship header 2

League Two
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Sutton United

Harrogate
0 - 1
Sutton


Folarin (11')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ajiboye (8')
Goodliffe (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Salford City 2-0 Sutton
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 1-0 Sutton United

 Sutton have struggled on their travels so far this season, and recent form has taken a downward turn, so we expect Harrogate to emerge as winners in a closely-contested game. The Sulphurites have shown some improving signs at home recently, holding second-placed Stevenage to a draw, so there is no reason why they cannot go one better and take all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sutton United in this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawSutton United
35.03% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 27.15% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 37.81% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.96% (0.024000000000001 0.02)55.03% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.7% (0.019000000000002 0.02)76.3% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (0.024000000000001 0.02)29.87% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.03% (0.030999999999999 0.03)65.96% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (0.0019999999999953 0)28.19% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12% (0.0020000000000024 0)63.88% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 35.03%
    Sutton United 37.81%
    Draw 27.15%
Harrogate TownDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 7.78% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 35.03%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 10.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 37.81%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Sutton
2-1
Harrogate
Beautyman (21'), Kouassi (70')
Rose (90+5')
Armstrong (45+2' pen.)
Richards (26'), Austerfield (48')
Horbury (73')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Harrogate
0-2
Sutton
Eastmond (8'), Olaofe (78')
Kizzi (63')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Sutton
1-0
Harrogate
Eastmond (80')
Davis (4'), Smith (74')

Armstrong (4'), Page (29'), McArdle (71')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Sutton
1-0
Harrogate
Wilson (30')
Barden (32'), Bugiel (63')

Diamond (90+3')
Nov 30, 2019 3pm
Sutton
3-1
Harrogate
Beautyman (29'), Wright (72', 87')
Beautyman (83')
Falkingham (68')
Muldoon (49'), Emmett (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
17Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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