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Championship header 2

League Two
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Sutton United

Harrogate
0 - 1
Sutton


Folarin (11')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ajiboye (8')
Goodliffe (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Salford City 2-0 Sutton
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 1-0 Sutton United

 Sutton have struggled on their travels so far this season, and recent form has taken a downward turn, so we expect Harrogate to emerge as winners in a closely-contested game. The Sulphurites have shown some improving signs at home recently, holding second-placed Stevenage to a draw, so there is no reason why they cannot go one better and take all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sutton United in this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawSutton United
35.03% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 27.15% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 37.81% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.96% (0.024000000000001 0.02)55.03% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.7% (0.019000000000002 0.02)76.3% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (0.024000000000001 0.02)29.87% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.03% (0.030999999999999 0.03)65.96% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (0.0019999999999953 0)28.19% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12% (0.0020000000000024 0)63.88% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 35.03%
    Sutton United 37.81%
    Draw 27.15%
Harrogate TownDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 7.78% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 35.03%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 10.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 37.81%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Sutton
2-1
Harrogate
Beautyman (21'), Kouassi (70')
Rose (90+5')
Armstrong (45+2' pen.)
Richards (26'), Austerfield (48')
Horbury (73')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Harrogate
0-2
Sutton
Eastmond (8'), Olaofe (78')
Kizzi (63')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Sutton
1-0
Harrogate
Eastmond (80')
Davis (4'), Smith (74')

Armstrong (4'), Page (29'), McArdle (71')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Sutton
1-0
Harrogate
Wilson (30')
Barden (32'), Bugiel (63')

Diamond (90+3')
Nov 30, 2019 3pm
Sutton
3-1
Harrogate
Beautyman (29'), Wright (72', 87')
Beautyman (83')
Falkingham (68')
Muldoon (49'), Emmett (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall26184452262658
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe271210534231146
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
4Port Vale2712963328545
5AFC Wimbledon25135737191844
6Notts County26128642271544
7Bradford CityBradford26128637271044
8Salford City2612683023742
9Grimsby Town27122133744-738
10Chesterfield269984031936
11Bromley2681173632435
12MK Dons26105113937235
13Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2697103639-334
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood258983331233
16BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
17Gillingham2594122326-331
18Swindon TownSwindon28710113542-731
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2885152338-1529
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2577113343-1028
21Newport CountyNewport2575133345-1226
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2668121940-2126
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2656152140-1921
24Morecambe2655162241-1920
> League Two Full Table


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