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Walsall
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Sutton United

Crawley
1 - 2
Sutton

Oteh (90+5')
Craig (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kizzi (61'), Milsom (70' pen.)
Randall (83'), Boldewijn (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Crawley Town 1-0 Sutton United

While Sutton United will be looking to end their poor run of results on the road, Monday's game pits them against a Crawley Town side who are unbeaten in five of their last six home games in the league. We are backing the Red Devils to end their losing streak in this fixture and return to winning ways in front of their home fans, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawSutton United
37.93% (0.10599999999999 0.11) 27.57% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 34.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.02% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3% (0.325 0.32)56.69% (-0.328 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (0.26 0.26)77.65% (-0.262 -0.26)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08% (0.22 0.22)28.91% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.21% (0.273 0.27)64.79% (-0.274 -0.27)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (0.151 0.15)31.04% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64% (0.178 0.18)67.36% (-0.178 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 37.93%
    Sutton United 34.5%
    Draw 27.56%
Crawley TownDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.13% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 37.93%
1-1 @ 13.02% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.98% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 10.5% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.97% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.5%

Head to Head
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Sutton
3-0
Crawley
Smith (4', 86'), Bennett (7')
Barden (35')

Davies (34'), Oteh (52'), Nadesan (90+2')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Crawley
0-1
Sutton

Dallison (19'), Francillette (83')
Olaofe (84')
John (75'), Milsom (75'), Bouzanis (76'), Boldewijn (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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