Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.