Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Northampton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Sutton
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Barrow | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Crewe Alexandra | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Doncaster Rovers | 4 | 2 | 8 |
Last Game: Crawley 2-3 Northampton
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Leyton Orient | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Northampton Town | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Stevenage | 4 | 3 | 10 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Northampton Town |
25.81% ( 0.04) | 26.69% ( -0.07) | 47.5% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.59% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
