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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
Result | ||
Leyton Orient | Draw | Rochdale |
59.32% ( 0.61) | 23.94% ( -0.29) | 16.74% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 43.45% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.19% ( 0.56) | 55.81% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.07% ( 0.45) | 76.93% ( -0.45) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.38% ( 0.44) | 18.61% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.09% ( 0.74) | 49.91% ( -0.74) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.39% ( -0.09) | 46.61% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.81% ( -0.07) | 82.19% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Leyton Orient | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 14.58% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.93% Total : 59.31% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.55% Total : 23.93% | 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.35% Total : 16.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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