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Championship header 2

League Two
Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Carlisle United

Rochdale
0 - 1
Carlisle


Lloyd (54'), Diagouraga (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gordon (8')
Huntington (22'), Feeney (26'), Gordon (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-0 Rochdale
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 3-1 Hartlepool
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Rochdale 0-3 Carlisle United

 Carlisle are in fantastic form, and the attacking threat that they pose should be far too much for Rochdale to be able to handle, given how poor their defence has been all season. As such, we expect the Blues to romp home to a comfortable victory, with Dennis likely to be on the scoresheet for the fifth game on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Carlisle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Carlisle United.

Result
RochdaleDrawCarlisle United
34.01% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 26.65% (0.0040000000000013 0) 39.34% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)53.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.3% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)74.7% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)29.57% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.39% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)65.6% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)26.42% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)61.59% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 34.01%
    Carlisle United 39.34%
    Draw 26.65%
RochdaleDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.8%
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 34.01%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 10.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.34%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Carlisle

Rochdale
36.4%
Draw
0.0%
Carlisle United
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
3-3
Rochdale
Mellish (36'), Dennis (58'), Huntington (78')
Quigley (22', 53'), Rodney (51')
Quigley (69')
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
Rochdale
2-0
Carlisle
Kelly (10' pen.), Grant (81')
Lynch (70')

Simeu (5'), Devine (63'), Dickenson (90+3')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Carlisle
2-0
Rochdale
Patrick (25'), Sho-Silva (89')
Gibson (79'), Armer (88')
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Rochdale
2-1
Carlisle
Morley (11'), Done (31')
Camps (67'), O'Connell (70'), Keohane (91')
Bridge (71' pen.)
Dec 3, 2016 3pm
Second Round
Carlisle
0-2
Rochdale
Davies (48'), Mendez-Laing (93')
Canavan (35')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513
> League Two Full Table


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