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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | MK Dons |
42.34% ( 0.01) | 24.74% ( -0) | 32.92% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.86% ( 0) | 45.13% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.51% ( 0) | 67.48% ( -0.01) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.63% ( 0.01) | 21.36% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.66% ( 0.01) | 54.33% ( -0.01) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.63% ( -0.01) | 26.36% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.48% ( -0.01) | 61.51% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | MK Dons |
2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 42.34% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 32.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 46 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
4 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Notts County | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Salford City | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 36 |
11 | Bromley | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 35 |
12 | MK Dons | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 34 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
17 | Gillingham | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 31 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 31 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 29 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 28 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 26 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |