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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
35.18% ( -0.23) | 25.35% ( 0.15) | 39.47% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 56.35% ( -0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.6% ( -0.73) | 47.4% ( 0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.39% ( -0.68) | 69.61% ( 0.67) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.91% ( -0.47) | 26.09% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.85% ( -0.64) | 61.15% ( 0.64) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.25% ( -0.29) | 23.75% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.11% ( -0.41) | 57.89% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.33% Total : 35.18% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 58 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 49 |
3 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 47 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 45 |
7 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
8 | Salford City | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 43 |
9 | Chesterfield | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 39 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Bromley | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 35 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
16 | Swindon TownSwindon | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Gillingham | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 31 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 29 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 29 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |