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Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
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Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Barrow

Rochdale
2 - 1
Barrow

Kelly (18'), Quigley (75')
Diagouraga (28'), Ball (90'), O'Donnell (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Canavan (89')
Warren (85'), Canavan (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 0-1 Rochdale
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Rochdale 1-2 Barrow

Rochdale are yet to win at home this season, and will be increasingly desperate to try to change that as time goes on. Nonetheless, Barrow have started the season strongly, and will be looking to get back on track here, so we are predicting a narrow, Josh Gordon-inspired victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawBarrow
39.06% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 27.91%33.02% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.73% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.81% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)58.18% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)78.83% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (-0.012 -0.01)28.98% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)64.87% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)32.79% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.35% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 39.05%
    Barrow 33.02%
    Draw 27.91%
RochdaleDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 39.05%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 10.59%
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 33.02%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Barrow

Rochdale
Draw
Barrow
Rochdale
62.5%
Draw
0.0%
Barrow
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Rochdale
0-0
Barrow

Dorsett (68'), Broadbent (84')

Banks (45+2'), Sea (86')
Oct 30, 2021 3.30pm
Barrow
1-2
Rochdale
Banks (56')
Gordon (53'), Brown (58'), Platt (90+3')
Beesley (28', 72')
Graham (53'), Odoh (85')
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bradford CityBradford4121101054342073
2Port Vale412013854401473
3Walsall412012972492372
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster4020101061461570
5AFC Wimbledon4119111154312368
6Notts County4119111161402168
7Grimsby Town41205165758-165
8Colchester UnitedColchester41151794940962
9Crewe AlexandraCrewe411516104741661
10Chesterfield4016101461491258
11Salford City401513125046458
12Bromley411414135651556
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood411414135753456
14Swindon TownSwindon411315136157454
15BarrowBarrow411410174747052
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham411311175161-1050
17Newport CountyNewport41138205168-1747
18Gillingham401113163543-846
19MK Dons41137215165-1446
20Harrogate TownHarrogate41129203352-1945
21Tranmere RoversTranmere411013183658-2243
22Accrington StanleyAccrington411012194663-1742
23Morecambe41106253760-2336
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle41810233463-2934


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