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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Bradford City |
27.83% ( -0.02) | 27.12% ( -0) | 45.05% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.84% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.99% ( -0.01) | 57.01% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.1% ( -0.01) | 77.9% ( 0.01) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.97% ( -0.02) | 36.03% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.19% ( -0.02) | 72.81% ( 0.02) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.79% ( 0.01) | 25.21% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.05% ( 0.01) | 59.95% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 27.83% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 9.08% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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