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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Rochdale |
44.52% ( 0.27) | 27.63% ( -0.03) | 27.85% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 46.44% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.2% | 58.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.68% ( 0) | 79.32% ( -0) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.7% ( 0.14) | 26.3% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.58% ( 0.18) | 61.42% ( -0.18) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.01% ( -0.19) | 36.99% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.22% ( -0.19) | 73.77% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 44.52% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.73% 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 27.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |