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Championship header 2

League Two
Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Barrow

Stevenage
5 - 0
Barrow

Reeves (18'), Reid (50'), Sweeney (75'), Norris (78' pen.), Warren (86' og.)
Gilbey (63'), Wildin (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ray (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: King's Lynn 0-3 Stevenage
Saturday, November 26 at 12.45pm in FA Cup

Barrow

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bolton 3-2 Barrow
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Barrow

 With two of the league's form sides and two of its strongest squads squaring off, we anticipate a high-quality encounter on Friday and just tip the balance in favour of the hosts. Barrow certainly have the tools to hurt their opponents, but with home advantage we see Evans's side having just enough to come out with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawBarrow
49.07% (0.086000000000006 0.09) 26.35% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 24.58% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 47.49% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.8% (0.040999999999997 0.04)56.19% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.75% (0.033000000000001 0.03)77.24% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.04% (0.057000000000002 0.06)22.95% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.26% (0.085999999999999 0.09)56.73% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.64% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)38.36% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.88% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)75.11% (0.02600000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 49.06%
    Barrow 24.58%
    Draw 26.34%
StevenageDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 12.95%
2-0 @ 9.54% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 49.06%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.8% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 24.58%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Barrow

Stevenage
69.2%
Draw
15.4%
Barrow
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 4.30pm
Barrow
0-0
Stevenage

Amadi-Holloway (55')

Prosser (65')
Prosser (90+7')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Stevenage
1-0
Barrow
Reeves (46')
Lines (45+1'), Cuthbert (52'), Vancooten (55'), Taylor (90')

Taylor (21'), Banks (22'), Platt (45+2'), Kay (51'), Ntlhe (68'), Devitt (79')
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Stevenage
2-1
Barrow
List (53'), Norris (87' pen.)
Andrew (78')
Banks (68'), Kay (87'), Barry (87')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Barrow
1-1
Stevenage
Angus (12' pen.)
Beadling (44')
Effiong (85' pen.)
Newton (11')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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