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Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 29
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Stevenage
1 - 0
Crewe

Reid (79')
Reeves (52'), Rose (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 3-1 Walsall
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 4-3 Salford City
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Stevenage 3-1 Crewe Alexandra

Stevenage are the more likely side to dominate large proportions of this match and will attempt to dictate play inside their opponents' half. We believe that this game will be littered with goals due to both sides' recent record of goals conceded, but Stevenage will score more than their opponents due to being the superior attacking side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 68.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawCrewe Alexandra
68.93% (4.626 4.63) 19.67% (-1.835 -1.84) 11.4% (-2.793 -2.79)
Both teams to score 42.44% (-2.324 -2.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34% (1.276 1.28)49.66% (-1.278 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.32% (1.132 1.13)71.68% (-1.134 -1.13)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.66% (1.834 1.83)13.33% (-1.837 -1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.8% (3.576 3.58)40.2% (-3.578 -3.58)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.97% (-3.799 -3.8)51.02% (3.798 3.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.64% (-2.702 -2.7)85.35% (2.699 2.7)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 68.93%
    Crewe Alexandra 11.4%
    Draw 19.67%
StevenageDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-0 @ 13.81% (1.07 1.07)
1-0 @ 13.7% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-0 @ 9.28% (1.267 1.27)
3-1 @ 6.24% (0.233 0.23)
4-0 @ 4.67% (0.897 0.9)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.311 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.154 -0.15)
5-0 @ 1.88% (0.459 0.46)
5-1 @ 1.27% (0.198 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 68.93%
1-1 @ 9.22% (-0.907 -0.91)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-2 @ 3.13% (-0.459 -0.46)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 19.67%
0-1 @ 4.58% (-0.797 -0.8)
1-2 @ 3.1% (-0.699 -0.7)
0-2 @ 1.54% (-0.476 -0.48)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 11.4%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Crewe

Stevenage
82.8%
Draw
10.3%
Crewe Alexandra
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Crewe
1-2
Stevenage
McDonald (27')
King (41'), Thomas (76'), Baker-Richardson (82')
Reid (48', 67')
Sweeney (37'), Reeves (85')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Crewe
3-1
Stevenage
Porter (15'), Kirk (63'), Wintle (67')
Carter (90')
Lakin (57'), Mackail-Smith (75')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Stevenage
1-5
Crewe
Cuthbert (84')
Cuthbert (28'), Sonupe (91')
Anene (29', 65'), Finney (32'), Powell (57'), Cuthbert (70' og.)
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Crewe
1-0
Stevenage
Porter (21' pen.)
Ray (60')

Guthrie (74'), Kennedy (79')
Reid (79')
Oct 20, 2018 3pm
Stevenage
0-1
Crewe

Nugent (12')
Bowery (61')
Ainley (14'), Jones (64'), Kirk (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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