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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Stevenage |
37.78% ( -0.66) | 28.02% ( 0.09) | 34.2% ( 0.57) |
Both teams to score 47.63% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.6% ( -0.26) | 58.4% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.99% ( -0.2) | 79.01% ( 0.2) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.15% ( -0.52) | 29.84% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.07% ( -0.63) | 65.93% ( 0.63) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.89% ( 0.25) | 32.11% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.42% ( 0.28) | 68.58% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.78% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 34.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |