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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 26
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The County Ground
Stevenage

Swindon
0 - 1
Stevenage

FT(HT: 0-1)
Reid (25')
Clark (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-5 Swindon
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Stevenage

Stevenage are real contenders for the League Two title, but travelling to Swindon will prove to be a tough test, considering that they have not won in their last four league away games. If any team takes the three points, it is likely to be the visitors, but we expect the spoils to be shared in a very closely-contested game, given that the hosts will be full of confidence after an emphatic win in their last match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawStevenage
33.16% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 28.53% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 38.31% (-0.13 -0.13)
Both teams to score 45.98% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.63% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)60.37% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.48% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)80.52% (0.071000000000012 0.07)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)33.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.5% (0.016999999999999 0.02)70.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5% (-0.12700000000001 -0.13)30.5% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.28% (-0.151 -0.15)66.72% (0.148 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 33.16%
    Stevenage 38.3%
    Draw 28.53%
Swindon TownDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 11.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.2% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.6% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 33.16%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.32% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 12.25%
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.3%

How you voted: Swindon vs Stevenage

Swindon Town
57.1%
Draw
7.1%
Stevenage
35.7%
14
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
gameweek 14
Stevenage
2-0
Swindon
Roberts (11', 60')
Piergianni (45+3')
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Swindon
0-0
Stevenage

Reed (40'), Iandolo (79')

Reeves (75')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
gameweek 6
Stevenage
1-1
Swindon
Coker (54')
Payne (90+5' pen.)
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Swindon
1-0
Stevenage
Doyle (90')
Grant (12'), Fryers (61'), Doyle (92')

Parrett (79'), Denton (90'), Farman (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


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