MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 23:28:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium

Hornchurch
1 - 0
Hemel Hemps.

Nash (14')
Greenidge (40'), Phillips (43'), Terry (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

German (52'), Howe (79')
Howe (85')
Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hornchurch 2-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 2-5 Eastbourne
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AFC Hornchurch in this match.

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawHemel Hempstead Town
42.98% (0.0030000000000001 0) 26.56%30.46%
Both teams to score 50.91% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.25% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)53.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.77% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)75.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.21% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.79% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.63%59.37% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)32.31% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)68.81% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 42.98%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 30.46%
    Draw 26.56%
AFC HornchurchDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 11.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 7.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 42.98%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 9.05%
1-2 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 5.11%
1-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 30.46%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Weston-super-MareWeston17114231151637
2Truro CityTruro City18104429161334
3Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne1810442722534
4Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd188732216631
5Dorking WanderersDorking198653529630
6Farnborough TownFarnborough189363127430
7Worthing178542728-129
8Slough TownSlough1884633231028
9Boreham WoodBoreham Wood1776425141127
10Hampton & RichmondHampton177462417725
11Chippenham TownChippenham187472419525
12Chesham UnitedChesham157352722524
13Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels156632015524
14Maidstone UnitedMaidstone165832018223
15AFC HornchurchHornchurch176561617-123
16Chelmsford CityChelmsford City175752825322
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.196492533-822
18Welling UnitedWelling United1861111934-1519
19Salisbury164572227-517
20Bath City1844101326-1316
21St Albans CitySt Albans City172691625-912
22Weymouth172691122-1112
23Aveley1732121730-1311
24Enfield Town1732121638-2211


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