MX23RW : Thursday, December 26 16:57:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Raymond McEnhill Stadium

Salisbury
2 - 2
Hornchurch

Hedges (21'), Fasanmade (82')
McCreadie (39'), Leggett (45+1'), Wilkinson (73'), Elliott-Wheeler (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Saunders (40'), Kashket (90+6')
Phillips (52')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Salisbury and AFC Hornchurch.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Albans City 3-4 Salisbury
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dorking 3-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
SalisburyDrawAFC Hornchurch
34.45% (0.161 0.16) 24.25% (0.069000000000003 0.07) 41.31% (-0.229 -0.23)
Both teams to score 60.12% (-0.205 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.56% (-0.289 -0.29)42.44% (0.29 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.16% (-0.288 -0.29)64.84% (0.289 0.29)
Salisbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)24.19% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)58.52% (0.064 0.06)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (-0.227 -0.23)20.69% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (-0.358 -0.36)53.29% (0.358 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Salisbury 34.45%
    AFC Hornchurch 41.31%
    Draw 24.24%
SalisburyDrawAFC Hornchurch
2-1 @ 7.94% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.1% (0.082 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.04% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.39% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 34.45%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.01% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.21% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.63% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.26% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 41.31%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd22127333191443
2Maidstone UnitedMaidstone23119338211742
3Truro CityTruro City22125535201541
4Boreham WoodBoreham Wood22117437181940
5Dorking WanderersDorking23117549311840
6Weston-super-MareWeston22116534241039
7Worthing2211653430439
8Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne2211653026439
9Farnborough TownFarnborough2211383534136
10Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels229852925435
11Slough TownSlough2397741301134
12AFC HornchurchHornchurch238872524132
13Hampton & RichmondHampton228773124731
14Chesham UnitedChesham228593136-529
15Chippenham TownChippenham2284102828028
16Chelmsford CityChelmsford City216873532326
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.2374122946-1725
18Salisbury2266103134-324
19Welling UnitedWelling United2273122440-1624
20Bath City2264121829-1122
21Aveley2344152643-1716
22Enfield Town2243152247-2515
23St Albans CitySt Albans City2228122238-1614
24Weymouth2127121230-1813


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