National League South | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Raymond McEnhill Stadium
Salisbury2 - 2Hornchurch
Coverage of the National League South clash between Salisbury and AFC Hornchurch.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Albans City 3-4 Salisbury
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Dorking 3-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salisbury | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
34.45% ( 0.16) | 24.25% ( 0.07) | 41.31% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 60.12% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.56% ( -0.29) | 42.44% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.16% ( -0.29) | 64.84% ( 0.29) |
Salisbury Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.81% ( -0.04) | 24.19% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.48% ( -0.06) | 58.52% ( 0.06) |
AFC Hornchurch Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.3% ( -0.23) | 20.69% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.71% ( -0.36) | 53.29% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Salisbury 34.45%
AFC Hornchurch 41.31%
Draw 24.24%
Salisbury | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.45% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 41.31% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-24 18:01:11
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Weston-super-MareWeston | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 37 |
2 | Truro CityTruro City | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 34 |
3 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 34 |
4 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 31 |
5 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 30 |
6 | Farnborough TownFarnborough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 30 |
7 | Worthing | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 29 |
8 | Slough TownSlough | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 28 |
9 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 27 |
10 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 25 |
11 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
12 | Chesham UnitedChesham | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 24 |
13 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
14 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 23 |
15 | AFC HornchurchHornchurch | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 23 |
16 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 22 |
17 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps. | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 |
19 | Salisbury | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 17 |
20 | Bath City | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 16 |
21 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 12 |
22 | Weymouth | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Aveley | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Enfield Town | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 38 | -22 | 11 |
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