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National League South | Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium

Hornchurch
vs.
Chelmsford City

Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 2-1 Hashtag United
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Tilbury 0-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw has a probability of 25.2% and a win for AFC Hornchurch has a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.96%), while for an AFC Hornchurch win it is 1-0 (7.57%).

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawChelmsford City
24.59% (0.496 0.5) 25.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 50.24% (-0.49 -0.49)
Both teams to score 50.92% (0.517 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.29% (0.429 0.43)51.71% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.51% (0.372 0.37)73.48% (-0.371 -0.37)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.12% (0.679 0.68)35.88% (-0.675 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34% (0.686 0.69)72.65% (-0.685 -0.69)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)20.59% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.87% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)53.13% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 24.59%
    Chelmsford City 50.24%
    Draw 25.16%
AFC HornchurchDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 7.57% (0.011 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.13% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 3.88% (0.076 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.1% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.33% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.59%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 7.39% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 11.67% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.23% (-0.178 -0.18)
1-3 @ 4.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.86% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.042 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.92% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 50.24%

Who will win Saturday's National League South clash between Hornchurch and Chelmsford City?

AFC Hornchurch
Draw
Chelmsford City
AFC Hornchurch
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Chelmsford City
0.0%
0
rhs 2.0
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