Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Airdrieonians in this match.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
41.64% ( -0.33) | 24.71% ( 0.18) | 33.64% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 58.23% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.19% ( -0.8) | 44.81% ( 0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.83% ( -0.77) | 67.17% ( 0.77) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.45% ( -0.49) | 21.55% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.38% ( -0.76) | 54.62% ( 0.76) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.22% ( -0.29) | 25.77% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.28% ( -0.4) | 60.72% ( 0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.54% Total : 41.64% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
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