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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Notts County has a probability of 33.43% and a draw has a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Notts County win is 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.56%).
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Notts County |
41.86% ( -0.64) | 24.71% ( 0.04) | 33.43% ( 0.6) |
Both teams to score 58.16% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.13% ( -0.01) | 44.87% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.77% ( -0.01) | 67.23% ( 0.01) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.53% ( -0.31) | 21.47% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.5% ( -0.47) | 54.5% ( 0.47) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.07% ( 0.36) | 25.93% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.07% ( 0.48) | 60.93% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 41.86% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.71% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 52 |
2 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
3 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 40 |
5 | Salford City | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 39 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 39 |
7 | Port Vale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 38 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 24 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 37 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 35 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | Bromley | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 28 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 23 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 27 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 24 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 22 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
22 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 22 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 18 |
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