Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Reims had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Reims |
41.57% ( 0.07) | 25.64% ( 0.04) | 32.79% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 54.77% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.81% ( -0.17) | 49.2% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.74% ( -0.16) | 71.26% ( 0.16) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.52% ( -0.04) | 23.48% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.5% ( -0.06) | 57.5% ( 0.06) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.57% ( -0.15) | 28.43% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.82% ( -0.19) | 64.18% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Reims |
1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 41.57% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |