Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.94%. A win for Reims had a probability of 22.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Reims |
54.94% ( -0.45) | 22.4% ( 0.14) | 22.65% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 57.59% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.2% ( -0.25) | 41.8% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.8% ( -0.25) | 64.2% ( 0.25) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.86% ( -0.23) | 15.13% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.29% ( -0.44) | 43.71% ( 0.44) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.86% ( 0.14) | 32.13% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.38% ( 0.16) | 68.62% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Reims |
2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.84% Total : 54.94% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 22.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 37 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |