Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Reims had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Reims |
41.57% ( 0.07) | 25.64% ( 0.04) | 32.79% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 54.77% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.81% ( -0.17) | 49.2% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.74% ( -0.16) | 71.26% ( 0.16) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.52% ( -0.04) | 23.48% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.5% ( -0.06) | 57.5% ( 0.06) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.57% ( -0.15) | 28.43% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.82% ( -0.19) | 64.18% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Reims |
1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 41.57% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 33 |
2 | Marseille | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 26 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Lille | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Lyon | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 22 |
6 | Nice | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 20 |
7 | Lens | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
8 | Auxerre | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Reims | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Toulouse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Brest | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 14 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 13 |
14 | Angers | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 13 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 30 | -19 | 13 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 12 |
17 | NantesNantes | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |