MX23RW : Wednesday, December 11 19:19:13| >> :120:10772:10772:
Ajax
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Panathinaikos

Ajax
0 - 1
Panathinaikos


Akpom (53'), Henderson (105')
FT
(aet)
Tete (89')
Bakasetas (6'), Ioannidis (75'), Mladenovic (78'), Jeremejeff (90+4'), Mancini (105'), Jedvaj (105'), Tete (120')
Ajax win 12-12 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ajax and Panathinaikos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 1-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, August 11 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Next Game: Rapid Vienna vs. Trabzonspor
Thursday, August 15 at 5pm in Europa League
Last Game: Panathinaikos 0-1 Ajax
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa League
Next Game: Rapid Vienna vs. Trabzonspor
Thursday, August 15 at 5pm in Europa League

We say: Ajax 1-0 Panathinaikos (Ajax win 2-0 on aggregate)

Proving an impressive start to the Francesco Farioli era may be sustainable, Ajax can win again on Thursday night, securing their place in the Europa League playoffs. Now that Bergwijn and Brobbey are both back in the fold, they should find a way past Panathinaikos, who will be bound for the Conference League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 51.75%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%).

Result
AjaxDrawPanathinaikos
51.75% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05) 23.1% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 25.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 58.2% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.63% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)42.36% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.23% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)64.77% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.56% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)16.43% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.89% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)46.11% (0.061 0.06)
Panathinaikos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)30.35% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.54% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 51.75%
    Panathinaikos 25.15%
    Draw 23.1%
AjaxDrawPanathinaikos
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.01% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 51.75%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.95% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.55% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 25.15%

How you voted: Ajax vs Panathinaikos

Ajax
82.6%
Draw
10.5%
Panathinaikos
7.0%
86
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2024 7pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Panathinaikos
0-1
Ajax

Ingi Ingason (45+2'), Mancini (59'), Ioannidis (80'), Arao (84'), Duricic (84')
Berghuis (28')
Sutalo (75')
Aug 8, 2024 7pm
Third Qualifying Round
Panathinaikos
0-1
Ajax
Berghuis (28')
Nov 24, 2016 6pm
Group Stage
Ajax
2-0
Panathinaikos
Schone (40'), Tete (50')
Dijks (16')

Villafanez (14'), Wakaso (54')
Sep 15, 2016 8.05pm
Group Stage
Panathinaikos
1-2
Ajax
Berg (5')
Koutroubis (35'), Ivanov (59'), Wakaso (62'), Mesto (66'), Villafanez (71')
Ivanov (69'), Wakaso (92')
Traore (34'), Riedewald (67')
Viergever (42'), Ziyech (55'), Veltman (92')
Ziyech (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!