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Europa League
Ajax
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Panathinaikos

Ajax
0 - 1
Panathinaikos


Akpom (53'), Henderson (105')
FT
(aet)
Tete (89')
Bakasetas (6'), Ioannidis (75'), Mladenovic (78'), Jeremejeff (90+4'), Mancini (105'), Jedvaj (105'), Tete (120')
Ajax win 12-12 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ajax and Panathinaikos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Ajax 1-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, August 11 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Next Game: Rapid Vienna vs. Trabzonspor
Thursday, August 15 at 5pm in Europa League

Panathinaikos

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Panathinaikos 0-1 Ajax
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa League
Next Game: Rapid Vienna vs. Trabzonspor
Thursday, August 15 at 5pm in Europa League

We say: Ajax 1-0 Panathinaikos (Ajax win 2-0 on aggregate)

 Proving an impressive start to the Francesco Farioli era may be sustainable, Ajax can win again on Thursday night, securing their place in the Europa League playoffs. Now that Bergwijn and Brobbey are both back in the fold, they should find a way past Panathinaikos, who will be bound for the Conference League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 51.75%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%).

Result
AjaxDrawPanathinaikos
51.75% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05) 23.1% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 25.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 58.2% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.63% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)42.36% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.23% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)64.77% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.56% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)16.43% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.89% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)46.11% (0.061 0.06)
Panathinaikos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)30.35% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.54% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 51.75%
    Panathinaikos 25.15%
    Draw 23.1%
AjaxDrawPanathinaikos
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.01% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 51.75%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.95% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.55% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 25.15%

How you voted: Ajax vs Panathinaikos

Ajax
82.6%
Draw
10.5%
Panathinaikos
7.0%
86
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2024 7pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Panathinaikos
0-1
Ajax

Ingi Ingason (45+2'), Mancini (59'), Ioannidis (80'), Arao (84'), Duricic (84')
Berghuis (28')
Sutalo (75')
Aug 8, 2024 7pm
Third Qualifying Round
Panathinaikos
0-1
Ajax
Berghuis (28')
> Preview
Nov 24, 2016 6pm
Group Stage
Ajax
2-0
Panathinaikos
Schone (40'), Tete (50')
Dijks (16')

Villafanez (14'), Wakaso (54')
Sep 15, 2016 8.05pm
Group Stage
Panathinaikos
1-2
Ajax
Berg (5')
Koutroubis (35'), Ivanov (59'), Wakaso (62'), Mesto (66'), Villafanez (71')
Ivanov (69'), Wakaso (92')
Traore (34'), Riedewald (67')
Viergever (42'), Ziyech (55'), Veltman (92')
Ziyech (79')
rhs 2.0
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