FIFA Intercontinental Cup | Second Round
Oct 29, 2024 at 5pm UK
Cairo International Stadium
Al Ahly3 - 0Al-Ain
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Al Ahly 2-1 Al-Ain
Al Ahly have the advantage of playing this game on home soil, and this could help sway the result in their favour against an Al Ain team that are struggling so far this season, and winless in their last two matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Al-Ain had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Al-Ain win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ahly | Draw | Al-Ain |
50.19% ( -0.43) | 24.19% ( 0.17) | 25.62% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 54.99% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% ( -0.53) | 46.83% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.91% ( -0.5) | 69.09% ( 0.5) |
| Al Ahly Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.3% ( -0.37) | 18.69% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.95% ( -0.63) | 50.05% ( 0.63) |
| Al-Ain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.63% ( -0.07) | 32.37% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.12% ( -0.08) | 68.88% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Al Ahly 50.18%
Al-Ain 25.62%
Draw 24.19%
| Al Ahly | Draw | Al-Ain |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.28% Total : 50.18% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 25.62% |
How you voted: Al Ahly vs Al-Ain
Al Ahly
87.5%Draw
6.3%Al-Ain
6.3%48
