Club World Cup | Semi-Finals
Dec 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Fluminense2 - 0Al Ahly
The Match
Match Report
Fluminense beat Al Ahly 2-0 to book their place in the final of the Club World Cup, where they will face either Manchester City or Urawa Red Diamonds.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Club World Cup clash between Fluminense and Al Ahly, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fluminense 2-3 Gremio
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
51
Last Game: Al Ahly 3-1 Al Ittihad
Friday, December 15 at 6pm in Club World Cup
Friday, December 15 at 6pm in Club World Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Al Ahly had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an Al Ahly win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
Result | ||
Fluminense | Draw | Al Ahly |
54.62% | 22.97% | 22.41% |
Both teams to score 55.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.37% | 44.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.01% | 66.99% |
Fluminense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.76% | 16.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.24% | 45.75% |
Al Ahly Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.07% | 33.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.39% | 70.6% |
Score Analysis |
Fluminense 54.62%
Al Ahly 22.41%
Draw 22.96%
Fluminense | Draw | Al Ahly |
1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 9.1% 3-1 @ 5.96% 3-0 @ 5.52% 3-2 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.71% 4-0 @ 2.51% 4-2 @ 1.46% 5-1 @ 0.99% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.39% Total : 54.62% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 0-0 @ 5.51% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 5.96% 1-2 @ 5.85% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.2% Total : 22.41% |
How you voted: Fluminense vs Winner Match 2
Fluminense
67.9%Draw
11.1%Winner Match 2
21.0%81
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-17 13:53:06
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Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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