We said: Al Ahly 1-2 Al Ittihad
We expect a meeting between the African champions and the winners of the Saudi Pro League to produce a close-fought contest in Friday's second-round tie.
However, with Al Ittihad able to call upon the experience and talent of Fabinho, Kante and Benzema, we think that they will claim a narrow victory to set up a semi-final clash with Fluminense.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 49.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 24.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for an Al Ittihad win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.