MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 12:50:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Lyon

Montpellier
vs.
Lyon

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, February 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 4-0 Reims
Sunday, February 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We say: Montpellier HSC 0-3 Lyon

After back-to-back defeats most recently, bottom side Montpellier will be dreading the arrival of top-four hopefuls Lyon on Sunday afternoon. Les Gones swept Reims aside with ease last weekend, and we feel that it could be a similar story for the Champions League chasers this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lyon win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw has a probability of 20.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC has a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.35%) and 0-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it is 2-1 (5.04%).

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLyon
18.48% (-0.667 -0.67) 20.54% (-0.108 -0.11) 60.98% (0.777 0.78)
Both teams to score 57.3% (-0.882 -0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.96% (-0.576 -0.58)39.03% (0.578 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.64% (-0.605 -0.6)61.35% (0.608 0.61)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.4% (-1.037 -1.04)34.6% (1.04 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.68% (-1.117 -1.12)71.31% (1.119 1.12)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.62% (0.042000000000002 0.04)12.38% (-0.039 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.76% (0.086000000000006 0.09)38.24% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 18.48%
    Lyon 60.98%
    Draw 20.54%
Montpellier HSCDrawLyon
2-1 @ 5.04% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-0 @ 4.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 2.41% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 18.48%
1-1 @ 9.5% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 4.28% (0.116 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.54%
1-2 @ 9.92% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.35% (0.28 0.28)
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.254 0.25)
1-3 @ 6.91% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.51% (0.204 0.2)
2-3 @ 3.67% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-4 @ 3.61% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.4% (0.112 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.92% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.42% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 60.98%

Who will win Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier and Lyon?

Montpellier HSC
Draw
Lyon
Montpellier HSC
8.3%
Draw
16.7%
Lyon
75.0%
24
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2025 8pm
Gameweek 16
Lyon
1-0
Montpellier
Fayad (90+1' og.)
Veretout (64'), Veretout (66')

Sagnan (50'), Maksimovic (64')
Feb 11, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 21
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
Nordin (23')
Ferri (90')
Lacazette (74'), Caqueret (82')
Tagliafico (28'), Orban (90')
Aug 19, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Lyon
1-4
Montpellier
Lacazette (69')
Diomande (13'), Lepenant (29'), Barcola (45+4'), Tagliafico (83')
Lacazette (80')
Nordin (20'), Al Tamari (39', 66'), Adams (89')
Kouyate (51')
May 7, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 34
Lyon
5-4
Montpellier
Lacazette (31', 59', 82', 90+10' pen.), Lovren (70')
Wahi (40', 41', 53', 55')
Oct 22, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 12
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
Wahi (70')
Aouar (33'), Lacazette (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG22175059203956
2Marseille22144450262446
3MonacoMonaco22124644291540
4Nice21107441261537
5Lille2198434221235
6Lyon2196636261033
7Lens219662520533
8Brest22102103538-332
9StrasbourgStrasbourg218673532330
10Toulouse227692325-227
11Auxerre226793137-625
12Rennes2172122930-123
13Angers2165102231-923
14Reims215792633-722
15NantesNantes224992539-1421
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2253142050-3018
17Le HavreLe Havre2152141740-2317
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2143142048-2815


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