Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 61.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Esperance Tunis had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.91%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Esperance Tunis win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al Ahly in this match.
0.01) 
-0.03) 
