MX23RW : Monday, January 6 11:41:31| >> :60:586:586:
CAF Champions League | Final | 2nd Leg
May 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
New Suez Stadium

Al Ahly
1 - 0
ES Tunis

Aholou (4' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Aholou (20'), Miguel Azevedo Cardoso (21'), Ogbelu (86'), Ben Hmida (90+5'), Ben Hmida (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's CAF Champions League clash between Al Ahly and Esperance Tunis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ahly

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Last Game: ES Tunis 0-0 Al Ahly
Saturday, May 18 at 8pm in CAF Champions League
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Esperance Tunis

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Last Game: ES Tunis 0-0 Al Ahly
Saturday, May 18 at 8pm in CAF Champions League
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We said: Al Ahly 1-0 Esperance Tunis

 Al Ahly and Esperance Tunis have been tough to crack at the defensive end of the pitch and we expect another cagey affair at the Cairo International Stadium. However, playing on home turf should give the Koller's men a 12th-man advantage and we see them coming away with all three points with their home supporters cheering them on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 61.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Esperance Tunis had a probability of 13.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.91%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Esperance Tunis win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al Ahly in this match.

Result
Al AhlyDrawEsperance Tunis
61.96% (0.012 0.01) 24.08% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 13.96% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 37.62% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.59% (-0.101 -0.1)60.41% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.45% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)80.55% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Al Ahly Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.62% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)19.37% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.83% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)51.17% (0.052 0.05)
Esperance Tunis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.66% (-0.113 -0.11)53.34% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.14% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)86.86% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Al Ahly 61.95%
    Esperance Tunis 13.96%
    Draw 24.08%
Al AhlyDrawEsperance Tunis
1-0 @ 16.95% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 13.91% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 61.95%
1-1 @ 10.66%
0-0 @ 10.33% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 13.96%

How you voted: Al Ahly vs ES Tunis

Al Ahly
100%
Draw
0.0%
Esperance Tunis
0.0%
7
Head to Head
May 18, 2024 8pm
Final 1st Leg
ES Tunis
0-0
Al Ahly
Aholou (15'), Rodrigues (70')
Fouad (39'), Hany (39')
> Preview
Jun 26, 2021 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Al Ahly
3-0
ES Tunis
Maaloul (38' pen.), Sherif (56'), El Shahat (60')
Mohamed (15')

Chetti (36')
> Preview
Jun 19, 2021 6pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
ES Tunis
0-1
Al Ahly
Sherif (67')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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