While Al Riyadh have been very impressive this season, Al-Nassr would have taken a huge confidence boost from their draw against Al-Hilal last week, and we feel they will carry that momentum into this match en route to a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 84.35%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.96%) and 0-4 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.04%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (1.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al Riyadh	Draw	Al-Nassr
5% ( -0.38)	10.65% ( -0.41)	84.35% ( 0.79)

Both teams to score 44.25% (

-1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70% (

0.17)

29.99% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.81% (

0.2)

51.19% (

-0.21)

Al Riyadh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.6% (

-1.24)

53.4% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.1% (

-0.79)

86.9% (

0.78)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.96% (

0.17)

5.04% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.91% (

0.5)

20.09% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Al Riyadh 5%

Al-Nassr 84.35%

Draw 10.65%

Al Riyadh	Draw	Al-Nassr
1-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.73% Total : 5%	1-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.55% Total : 10.65%	0-2 @ 12.01% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 11.96% ( 0.28) 0-4 @ 8.94% ( 0.31) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 7.51% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 5.34% ( 0.24) 1-5 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 0-6 @ 2.66% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.07) 1-6 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) 0-7 @ 1.14% ( 0.08) 2-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.43% Total : 84.35%

How you voted: Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr

Al Riyadh

15.8%

Draw

13.2%

Al-Nassr

71.1%

Head to Head

May 23, 2024 7pm

Gameweek 33

Al Riyadh

2-2

Al-Nassr

Gray (26'), Saleh (45+1')
N'Dong (85')

Otavio (15'), Al Nemer (90+7')
Telles (45+10'), Telles (50')
Laporte (63')

> Preview

Dec 8, 2023 6pm

Gameweek 16

Al-Nassr

4-1

Al Riyadh

Ronaldo (31'), Otavio (45+3'), Talisca (67', 90+4')
Yahya (88')

Gray (68')
Al-Shuwayyi (5'), Al-Rashidi (20')

> Preview

Form Guide

Damac 2-2 Al Riyadh

Al Riyadh 0-1 Al Ittihad

Al Okhdood 0-1 Al Riyadh

Al Riyadh 2-1 Al Quadisiya

Al Fayha 2-0 Al Riyadh

Al Raed 1-2 Al Riyadh

Al-Nassr 5-1 Al-Ain

Al-Nassr 1-1 Al-Hilal

Al Kholood 3-3 Al-Nassr

Esteghlal 0-1 Al-Nassr

Al Shabab 1-2 Al-Nassr

Al-Nassr 3-0 Al Orubah

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