Al Shabab have been consistent this season, but they have lacked clinical finishing, scoring over one goal in only one game so far, and this could be their downfall against an Al-Nassr team that boasts the third-best attack in the league and has dominated this fixture in recent years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.

Result
Al Shabab	Draw	Al-Nassr
25% ( 0.56)	22.5% ( 0.22)	52.49% ( -0.78)

Both teams to score 60.11% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.23% (

-0.45)

39.76% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.88% (

-0.47)

62.12% (

0.47)

Al Shabab Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.92% (

0.2)

29.07% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.01% (

0.25)

64.99% (

-0.25)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.75% (

-0.42)

15.24% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.08% (

-0.79)

43.91% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Al Shabab 25%

Al-Nassr 52.49%

Draw 22.5%

Al Shabab	Draw	Al-Nassr
2-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.31% Total : 25%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.5%	1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 6.07% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.88% Total : 52.49%

How you voted: Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr

Al Shabab

13.5%

Draw

3.8%

Al-Nassr

82.7%

Head to Head

Feb 25, 2024 5pm

Gameweek 21

Al Shabab

2-3

Al-Nassr

Carrasco (45+8' pen.), Carlos (67')
Carrasco (26'), Saiss (51'), Al-Sharari (88'), Radif (90+6')
Radif (90+12')

Ronaldo (21' pen.), Talisca (46', 86')
Laporte (45+5'), Boushal (90+6')

> Preview

Aug 29, 2023 7pm

Gameweek 4

Al-Nassr

4-0

Al Shabab

Ronaldo (13' pen., 38' pen.), Mane (41'), Al-Ghanam (80')
Mane (43'), Boushal (89')

Alsebyani (29'), Al-Sharari (33'), Cuellar (37'), Santos (43'), Babhir (77')
Banega (78')

> Preview

Form Guide

Damac 1-0 Al Shabab

Al Shabab 2-1 Al Raed

Al Shabab 1-0 Al-Taawoun

Al Quadisiya 0-1 Al Shabab

Al Khaleej 0-1 Al Shabab

Al Shabab 0-1 Al Ettifaq

Al-Nassr 3-0 Al Orubah

Al-Nassr 2-0 Al Wahda

Al Ettifaq 0-3 Al-Nassr

Al-Nassr 1-1 Al-Ahli

Al Fayha 1-4 Al-Nassr

Al-Nassr 1-1 Al Raed

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